Statistician: the Brazil event wasn't 'impossible' — the distribution was wrong

doodlestein · x · 2026-10-28

Arguing against claims that an event in Brazil was statistically 'basically impossible', the author contends the real error was applying an inapplicable statistical distribution in the first place — a point Mandelbrot explained over 20 years ago regarding fat-tailed and fractal distributions. A reading link is included.

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