Phantom Correlation: User Activity Alone Fabricates Item Similarity in Recommender Systems

_reachsumit · x · 2026-10-28

A new paper shows a substantial fraction of item-item similarity in recommender systems is an artifact of user activity variance, not shared taste. Even with fully independent consumption where users differ only in total volume, standard similarity measures detect strong item associations — dubbed phantom correlation. The authors prove independent consumption under varying activity follows a Rasch model, derive how association depends on item popularity for each measure, and quantify phantom correlation's extent against real-world benchmarks.

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