Brian Keating: LLM Intelligence Doubles Every 4 Months, We May Live in a Simulation
coherence · x · 2026-10-26
A thread relayed via a Japanese account quotes cosmologist Brian Keating on the simulation hypothesis: today's computers can already simulate the universe's origins, and if exponential growth continues, simulating an entire civilization within centuries is plausible—meaning we ourselves might be simulations run by a future civilization. His key premise: LLM intelligence reportedly doubles every 4 months, so even a $20/month model like Claude could soon outknow every human, making ancestor simulation trivial on a 400-year horizon.
More from AGI Musings
- Intelligence Index scores cluster at 52-58: data shows a ceiling, not recursive take-off — gerardsans · 2026-10-26
- Year-long indie game cloned in a week with AI, exposing the community-building trap — IanArawjo · 2026-10-26
- Dev Predicts Personal Agents Will Replace Operating Systems, Generating UI on Demand — evielync · 2026-10-26
- Debate: would a jailbroken Opus make creating pathogens nearly trivial? — harris_edouard · 2026-10-26
- François Fleuret: math also improves the 'human software' — think in memetic equilibria — francoisfleuret · 2026-10-26
- 'We Built the Aliens Ourselves': Dark Forest Metaphor for the Agent-Infested Web — harris_edouard · 2026-10-26