HCI researcher bets AI can finally make Bayesian stats usable for small-N studies

IanArawjo · x · 2026-10-25

Ian Arawjo shares work-in-progress on a modern handbook of empirical methods in HCI and argues that Bayesian statistics never took off mainly because of usability — not because of its merits. Since Bayesian methods are more trustworthy at small sample sizes, he believes AI assistance now makes it feasible to build a solid wrapper library that simplifies Bayesian analysis (e.g., ordinal models for Likert ratings) for HCI researchers.

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