Polymarket Bets: Microsoft Has Just 5% Odds of Top Model by Year-End

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-23

In the Polymarket market on "which company will have the #1 AI model by year's end," Microsoft sits at only 5% odds with about $220,000 traded; Anthropic leads by a wide margin at 76%, followed by OpenAI at 14%, Meta at 9%, xAI at 7%, and DeepSeek close behind. The market stands in contrast to news of Microsoft releasing an AI tool claiming twice the diagnostic accuracy of superhuman doctors.

Related event: Polymarket Bets Anthropic to Hold Top AI Model by Year-End(2 posts)→

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