LLM literature priors boost Bayesian optimization: reaction yields jump from 6% to 39%

bravo_abad · x · 2026-10-22

McCoy and colleagues used an untuned Gemini to read chemistry papers and rank choices like solvents and catalysts, feeding those rankings as priors into Bayesian optimization for reaction-condition search.

Key design: the LLM's suggestions get extra weight while the optimizer stays free to explore other conditions and learn from results — mimicking how a chemist leans on prior literature.

The literature mattered: on one reaction dataset, LLM-suggested conditions had an average recorded yield of 6% without supplied papers vs 39% with ten relevant papers. Retrospective box plots across Buchwald-Hartwig, Suzuki-Miyaura and Direct Arylation show paper-informed LLM priors roughly matching or beating plain BO, while misleading literature significantly slows convergence — prior quality is decisive.

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