ben_j_todd: 20% odds of explosive AI growth far exceeds market expectations
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-10-22
Following up on the $575K explosive-growth bet, benjtodd argues that a 20% chance of explosive growth is massive — far higher than financial markets, policymakers, or almost anyone expects. A genuine skeptic should be willing to bet at 1:30 odds at least, not 4:1.
Related event: $575K bet prices 20% chance of AI-driven explosive growth(2 posts)→
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