New egocentric benchmarks show SOTA VLMs fail ~1/3 of robot next-action predictions

mattbeane · x · 2026-10-20

Animesh Garg's team released two new egocentric benchmarks evaluating VLM readiness for robotics, with the headline finding that semantic reasoning ≠ perceptual timing.

MicroPlanBench (consequential next-action planning): predicting the single valid next atomic action from 8s of egocentric video still fails 1/3 of the time — GPT-6 Astra hits 65.6%, GPT-6.1 Sol 65.5% at 1/5th the cost. GPT-6 Astra error breakdown: 60% wrong manipulation, 23% wrong hand assignment, 17% wrong object/destination; 42% of failures involve tracking the wrong hand.

MicroAnnotationBench (continuous temporal grounding): probes estimating time to a predicted state. Quoting the post, a transformer model doing next-frame prediction plus time-to-state estimation was seen as impossible six months ago — though the quoter notes this still isn't robotics' bottleneck.

Related event: MicroPlanBench: No SOTA VLM Beats 70% on Robot Next-Step Planning(3 posts)→

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