Surya Ganguli lecture traces the statistical-physics origins of scaling laws

burny_tech · x · 2026-10-18

A 1-hour Stanford lecture by Surya Ganguli, "The Origins of Scaling Laws": predicting LLM scaling exponents from measurable statistics of natural language, using statistical-physics ideas. Covers n-gram loss scaling collapse, the data threshold P(n)≈n^2β for looking back n words, power-law decay of word correlations, and why longer context ranges demand more training data.

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