CDT+GT Handles the Sleeping Beauty Bet Without Paradox
jessi_cata · x · 2026-10-18
A niche decision-theory exchange: the author argues that CDT+GT (causal decision theory plus globalized tactics) can handle the Sleeping Beauty betting case cleanly. If its general policy is to accept the contract, it can reason there's a 50% chance this particular offer goes through conditional on tails—so no paradox arises and no internal flaw in CDT+GT is exposed, though alternative proposals might still be defensible.
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