Analyst: the widening compute gap alone may end China's frontier-model catch-up

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-17

teortaxesTex responds to discussion of Chinese models (K3.1, GLM) catching up, predicting the next round of cope will be 'this is the last time they caught up.' He argues it might actually be true: even setting distillation aside, the widening compute gap alone should suffice to reopen the frontier gap within a year or so.

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