Pure-play AI firms' combined revenue — $500B or $1T — will decide if AGI takes off this decade

Jsevillamol · x · 2026-10-15

The author proposes a simple heuristic: whether the largest pure-play AI companies combined reach closer to $500bn or $1tn in annualized revenue 12 months from now is the main determinant of whether AI truly takes off before the end of the decade — using commercial revenue as the yardstick for AGI timeline predictions.

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