Mathematicians say models feel misaligned, and x-risk fervor may be self-fulfilling

akbirthko · x · 2026-10-13

The author notes that several human mathematicians feel frontier models are increasingly "misaligned" with their sense of good output — a rift not just about lost status, one likely to spread to all white-collar work.

He then examines a common counter: misalignment between labs and the vast distribution of human creators stems mainly from (1) Goodharting via RL hill-climbing and (2) quarterly-flushed schlep research across the stack. Believers dismiss these as trivial next to existential risk. The author argues this counter is itself the core problem: fervently, all-encompassingly believing this non-obvious rebuttal may be rapidly increasing the odds of manifesting the very catastrophe x-risk advocates fear — "hyperstitioning."

Related event: Mathematicians decry model 'misalignment'; rationalist alarmism sparks debate(2 posts)→

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