If AI is 10x more productive, all public cryptography research could be redone for ~$100M

matthew_d_green · x · 2026-10-13

A discussion sparked under cryptographer Matthew Green proposes a striking back-of-envelope calculation: assuming AI research productivity reaches 10x that of humans, essentially all past public cryptography research could be reproduced for roughly $100 million. The exchange touches on what this implies for the economics of research and the future of the security field.

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