Anthropic evals: small models months from self-replicating on IoT; 9B model ran on 8 of 9 hardware types

scaling01 · x · 2026-10-13

Anthropic warns that small AI models may be only months away from being capable enough to self-replicate on commercial IoT devices. In its evals, a 9B model got inference running on 8 of 9 hardware types tested.

An accompanying chart fits the capability trend of open-weight models ≤30B by release date, projecting that small-model capability crosses the self-replication floor (GLM-5.2 level, ECI ≈151.8) around late Q3 2026.

Related event: Anthropic Warns Small Models May Self-Replicate Across IoT Devices Within Months(6 posts)→

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