Toby Ord clarifies: ECI tracks logistic growth, not exponential
tobyordoxford · x · 2026-10-09
Toby Ord clarified his earlier point: benchmarks may grow roughly linearly on a log-odds scale, which is essentially what the ECI measures, but that implies logistic — not exponential — growth.
Related event: Oxford's Toby Ord rebuts Chollet on exponential AI progress(3 posts)→
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