Debate on AI takeover: jagged capabilities, but coherent takeover intent would already show signs, researcher argues

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-08

Debating AI takeover risk, theorizur argues AI can't yet outsmart a village idiot in the real world and that Yudkowskian intelligence overweights superhuman deceit and theory of mind.

teortaxesTex responds that he's genuinely uncertain: models are jagged and RLVR envs may lack such tasks, but environments like Diplomacy, Stratego and Factorio exist — if models had a coherent desire to take over, we'd likely already see signs of them at least considering it.

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