Even all-in Anthropic is only ~20x, far below true seed-investing math, VC argues

dunkhippo33 · x · 2026-10-07

VC dunkhippo33 debates seed logic with Harry Stebbings and Venky Ganesan: true seed bets need 1000x+ outcomes. Even all-in on Anthropic is only 20x from entry — not seed math, though he expects continued growth. He adds that the real signal is founders and funds who concentrate in the clear winners later.

Related event: Seed rounds carry no signal; top funds' picks are just luck, investors say(3 posts)→

Original post →

More from Venture

Venture channel →