Experts said a COVID vaccine would take a year — Moderna already had the prototype
shakoistsLog · x · 2026-10-05
Using COVID vaccines as an example, the author notes health experts claimed a vaccine would take over a year while Moderna already had the eventual prototype built. His point: today, small teams are often already solving problems that others deem impossible or years away — the tech tree is far less legible than you might think, and outside observers systematically underestimate frontier progress.
Related event: Covid vaccine case shows tech progress often defies expert predictions(2 posts)→
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