Covid vaccine case shows tech progress often defies expert predictions

Bloggers revisit how health experts predicted a Covid vaccine would take over a year, while Moderna had already built the prototype that was ultimately used. They argue that technology trees are far less predictable than experts assume, and such surprises are not unique to Covid.

2026-10-05 ~ 2026-10-05 · 2 related posts

• The tech tree is less legible than you think: Moderna had a vaccine prototype before experts predicted — shakoistsLog · 2026-10-05
• Experts said a COVID vaccine would take a year — Moderna already had the prototype — shakoistsLog · 2026-10-05