Debate: will all mainstream software be formally verified by 2030? Legacy debt says no
luislamb · x · 2026-09-22
sytelus predicted that mathematics' biggest impact will be proofs at software scale — by 2030 all mainstream software will be verified and untouched unverified libraries will be a thing of the past, with spec formalization and 1B-LoC-scale verification as ripe targets for auto-research/self-improvement loops. luislamb pushed back, calling this too optimistic: too much legacy code, too much tech debt, and bugs constantly introduced by both humans and LLMs make it unlikely.
Related event: Prediction: All mainstream software will be formally verified by 2030(2 posts)→
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