Polymarket puts just 6% odds on US enacting an AI safety bill before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-21
Polymarket's market on whether the US signs an AI safety bill into federal law by end of 2026 sits at just 6%, with $148K volume. The market resolves Yes only for bills banning creation/release of specific AI systems, restricting training (data access or parameter caps), limiting usage scenarios, or mandating human-in-the-loop mechanisms. The market notes comprehensive legislation is stalled mainly at committee level despite ongoing bipartisan talks.
Note: the reply quoting Treasury Sec. Bessent on a "Hugging Face incident" is an obvious joke, not real news.
Related event: Polymarket Sees Only 8% Odds of US AI Safety Bill by 2026(2 posts)→
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