Polymarket Sees Only 8% Odds of US AI Safety Bill by 2026

Polymarket puts the odds of the US passing a federal AI safety law before the end of 2026 at just 8%, up slightly from 6% earlier in the week. The market's criteria include banning specific AI systems and restricting training data, model size or use cases.

2026-09-21 ~ 2026-09-23 · 2 related posts

• Polymarket puts just 6% odds on US enacting an AI safety bill before 2027 — Polymarket · 2026-09-21
• Polymarket Puts Only 8% Odds on US AI Safety Bill by End of 2026 — Polymarket · 2026-09-23