Quintin Pope adds more odds: 50% everyone gets rich, 90% living standards broadly rise
QuintinPope5 · x · 2026-09-21
Continuing his probability thread, Quintin Pope estimates: "everyone becomes really rich" at 50%; "some become really rich with living standards generally up for everyone" at 90%; "everyone rich + longevity escape velocity + people actually happy about it" at only 10%. Combined with his 1-2% p(doom), he leans clearly optimistic while doubting a perfect utopia.
Related event: AI researcher Quintin Pope estimates odds of AI doom and utopia(3 posts)→
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