AI researcher Quintin Pope estimates odds of AI doom and utopia

Quintin Pope estimated only a 1-2% chance of near-human extinction within 100 years, while assigning 50% probability to everyone becoming very wealthy and 90% to broad improvements in living standards. He also noted timelines are hard to define as AI keeps improving recursively.

2026-09-21 ~ 2026-09-21 · 3 related posts

• AI researcher Quintin Pope puts near-extinction odds at 1-2%, utopia at ~30% — QuintinPope5 · 2026-09-21
• Quintin Pope adds more odds: 50% everyone gets rich, 90% living standards broadly rise — QuintinPope5 · 2026-09-21
• Researcher's AI Utopia Odds: Everyone Rich ~50%, Broad Gains ~90% — QuintinPope5 · 2026-09-21