China's AI models earn ~10% of OpenAI and Anthropic's ARR even as capex doubles to $139B

rohanpaul_ai · x · 2026-09-18

A Rhodium Group report argues China's AI challenge is no longer compute but monetization. Even as China is on track to double AI infrastructure spending to $139 billion this year, all Chinese AI models combined generate only around 10% of the ARR of OpenAI and Anthropic.

The widening gap between capex and revenue means financing and profitability could become the sector's central problem: massive investment remains far ahead of application-side income.

Related event: Rhodium: OpenAI and Anthropic Earn 10x All Chinese AI Models Combined(6 posts)→

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