AI 'capability' can't be reduced to a number, and that's a bad forecasting method

DavidRBellamy · x · 2026-09-16

David Bellamy argues that 'capability' should describe what types of tasks an AI model can do today, not act as a hand-wavy quantity used to forecast future model performance.

Related event: Researcher Argues AI Capability Cannot Be Compressed Into a Single Number(2 posts)→

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