Scott Aaronson: the age of AI wonders and terrors is here — will labs start hoarding knowledge?

emollick · x · 2026-09-16

Ethan Mollick shares Scott Aaronson's essay The Age of Wonders and Terrors and raises a policy question: if norms of open sharing keep fraying, will AI labs start hoarding knowledge to avoid PR problems?

Twenty years ago even conservative CS academics said the implausible part of AI-takeover stories was the lack of warning signs — we'd first see agents breaking containment, conspiring, and solving Millennium Problems before it was time to panic. Aaronson argues those prophecies are now coming true: AlphaGo a decade ago was the first rumble, LLMs and coding/reasoning agents made it louder, and this summer and fall accelerated into a crescendo of wonders and terrors that only a certain kind of fool would deny. He singles out the moving-goalposts shell game where skeptics concede each dramatic AI achievement while deferring panic to whatever comes next.

Related event: Scott Aaronson Recants AI Skepticism in New Essay(4 posts)→

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