Landmark AI researcher survey: most experts see 10% chance AI destroys humanity
DavidSKrueger · x · 2026-09-15
KatjaGrace's team released what's billed as the biggest and best survey of AI researchers to date.
Key finding: most surveyed AI researchers assign roughly a 10% probability to AI destroying or disempowering humanity. The worry isn't limited to a few insiders at AI companies — it's a mainstream view among researchers.
The thread also cites Jacob Coxon's departure warning from Anthropic and colleague Evan's ">10% chance" estimate that AI would "kill all humans," noting such views are not unusual in the field.
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