Polymarket puts 7% odds on US government stake in Anthropic
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-14
Following Dario Amodei's statement about handing Anthropic to "the right combination of governments," Polymarket prices imply only a 7% chance of a US stake in Anthropic ($6.5K volume).
For comparison: OpenAI at 13-14%, Nvidia 15-16%, TSMC 18%, while GlobalFoundries, Rigetti and D-Wave sit near-certain at 98%+. Prediction markets remain skeptical about government stakes in frontier AI labs.
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