Polymarket puts 7% odds on US government stake in Anthropic
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-14
Following Dario Amodei's statement about handing Anthropic to "the right combination of governments," Polymarket prices imply only a 7% chance of a US stake in Anthropic ($6.5K volume).
For comparison: OpenAI at 13-14%, Nvidia 15-16%, TSMC 18%, while GlobalFoundries, Rigetti and D-Wave sit near-certain at 98%+. Prediction markets remain skeptical about government stakes in frontier AI labs.
More from Companies & People
- Stanford NLP Endorses CS336 as the Starting Point for Learning LLMs Deeply — stanfordnlp · 2026-09-14
- Stanford's new CS 312 'Deep Learning Alchemy' course makes all materials public — stanfordnlp · 2026-09-14
- Sam Altman backs Dario's frontier pacing call, pledges independent evaluators with employee-like access — joshua_saxe · 2026-09-14
- Ex-Anthropic Researcher Jacob Coxon Tells BBC Insiders Are 'Genuinely Frightened' — rohanpaul_ai · 2026-09-14
- Grok Bot went from zero to launch in 7 weeks: ex-Cursor growth lead Roman Ugarte tells the story — lennysan · 2026-09-14
- Dario Amodei says he'd hand Anthropic to 'the right combination of governments' — Polymarket · 2026-09-14