Suchenzang: near-zero odds labs agree on a credible third-party safety evaluator
suchenzang · x · 2026-09-13
Su Sheng (suchenzang) puts near-zero probability on frontier labs agreeing on a single third-party safety evaluator, for three reasons: no competent body could do genuine frontier evals rather than repackage existing ones; any such body would be financially tied to an existing lab; and even so, it would lack the backbone to speak up when things go wrong.
More from AGI Musings
- Security researcher: vibe coding will force software to consolidate around mature products — jd_pressman · 2026-10-31
- AI pushes circuit lower bound from 3.1n to 3.5n as UCLA-backed challenge aims at P vs NP — soumitrashukla9 · 2026-10-31
- What is work for? Cross-national survey of 8,234 adults on meaning in the AI age — soumitrashukla9 · 2026-10-31
- Which universities win top students may hinge on healthy AI-use boundaries, argues researcher — brianryhuang · 2026-10-31
- Researchers debate whether more inference compute can substitute for training compute — teortaxesTex · 2026-10-31
- Five agents can agree because they made the same mistake, krishnan warns with satire — krishnan · 2026-10-31