ChatGPT hit by widespread outage as Polymarket opens a 'Full Outage' prediction market

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-11

Polymarket reported that ChatGPT Work is experiencing widespread outages, with a dedicated "ChatGPT Full Outage" prediction market on its platform (expiring Sept 30, $15K volume, Yes trading around 24¢).

Resolution rules: only incidents classified as "Full Outage" with ChatGPT listed under affected components count; outages limited to APIs, Codex, FedRamp, or Ads Platform are excluded. It's a sign prediction markets are now treating AI service reliability as a tradable event.

Related event: ChatGPT Suffers Widespread Outage; Polymarket Lists Full-Outage Market(3 posts)→

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