AI Researcher Pushes Back on RSI Hype: Recent Events Provide ~0 Evidence on the Cruxes
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-09-10
A long-time AGI researcher says he remains relatively skeptical of RSI and fast takeoff within 2-3 years, arguing recent events provide 0 evidence on the real cruxes: rates of algorithmic progress, transfer to fuzzy skills like research taste, and innovating with new paradigms like RL on CoT and inference scaling. He frames the current 'vibe shift' primarily as a social phenomenon — a preference cascade the wider world is having, which those who have thought deeply need not follow.
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