Is quantifying uncertainty arbitrary? A Bayesian ideology debate
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-09-11
Itai Sher critiques 'Bayesian ideology': quantifying uncertainty is treated as a virtue, but sometimes there is no basis for choosing one number over another, making the stated probabilities arbitrary. Nathan Young replies that this is their core disagreement — he thinks stating one's view publicly is often worthwhile even when based only on gut feeling.
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