Short AGI timelines: informed estimates or generalized anxiety disorder?
menhguin · x · 2026-09-10
The author argues that every time they talk to someone with short AGI timelines, they have to figure out how much is informed estimation versus generalized anxiety disorder. They add that AI discourse in general is anxiety-driven — even pro-AI people often worry intensely about making money.
More from AGI Musings
- If you think your AI work is Russian roulette for civilization, you're misanthropic — matanSF · 2026-09-10
- Stanford's Chris Potts on "tokenflation": token usage may be outpacing the value it buys — ChrisGPotts · 2026-09-10
- Academics warn AI lets colleagues turn half-baked ideas into papers, breaking incentives further — erikphoel · 2026-09-10
- Geoffrey Hinton admits he was wrong about AI replacing radiologists — HealthcareAIGuy · 2026-09-10
- AI lab insider: I'd burn all my equity for a 1% better chance we survive this — EvanHub · 2026-09-10
- Notion CEO-shared take: own your context, rent the intelligence — ivanhzhao · 2026-09-10