When do robots take 20% of manual jobs? Researcher says very unlikely before 2035
davidmanheim · x · 2026-09-10
davidmanheim proposes picking manual jobs — short-order cooks, shelf stockers, housekeepers, bricklayers, trash collectors — and getting TheZvi's estimate of when robots hit 20% share. His own call: unlikely before 2035, very unlikely before 2030.
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