Saxe Concedes: Moving Average of Damages May Be Exponential, Chart Just a Quick Tweet
joshua_saxe · x · 2026-09-09
Joshua Saxe concedes ground to Toby Ord: the moving average of LLM misalignment damages is probably exponential, though his chart doesn't show that. He jokes it was a quick tweet, not a miniature paper.
Related event: Saxe and Ord Debate Whether LLM Incident Losses Grow Exponentially(3 posts)→
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