LEAP panel of AI experts and superforecasters gives just 10% odds of AI solving a Millennium Problem by 2027
Afinetheorem · x · 2026-09-09
A November 2025 LEAP panel combining AI experts and superforecasters put only 10% probability on AI helping solve a Millennium Prize Problem by 2027. One expert cited the Clay Mathematics Institute president's June 2025 remark that "we're very far away from AI being able to say anything serious about any of those problems." The forecast is a notable counterpoint amid OpenAI's Navier-Stokes announcement.
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