Are prediction markets actually accurate? Call for evidence on their track record
AndyMasley · x · 2026-10-27
The poster voices suspicion about prediction market discourse and asks whether there are large-scale comparisons of their overall track record available, reflecting growing scrutiny of prediction markets' accuracy.
More from AGI Musings
- Veteran engineer on what the AI-coding generation will never feel: 36-hour sprints and elusive bugs — bendee983 · 2026-10-27
- AI systems are not, and will never be, our friends, argues AI ethicist — LuizaJarovsky · 2026-10-27
- When AI agents pick your bank, brand feelings stop mattering, says VC — LexSokolin · 2026-10-27
- Reddit user argues OpenAI and Anthropic are holding back their best models — shadowt1tan · 2026-10-27
- OpenAI backs California SB 53 safety law as AI governance shifts into practice — Comfortable_Gene5180 · 2026-10-27
- Ben Goertzel: The AGI race is leaving much of AI research unexplored — bengoertzel · 2026-10-27