Ryan Greenblatt: last ~9 months of updates look bad for AI control, not good

repligate · x · 2026-09-05

Former Redwood Research researcher Ryan Greenblatt pushed back on the claim that Redwood staff are incentivized toward optimism: over the last 9 months, updates have generally looked bad for AI control prospects, not good. repligate replied that this is unsurprising and consistent with their model of his incentives. A substantive safety-community exchange about institutional incentives and alignment progress.

Related event: Ex-Researcher Says AI Control Outlook Has Worsened in Past Nine Months(2 posts)→

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