Bold Prediction: AI Nears Optimality by 2028, Replaces All Human Work by 2030
davidpattersonx · x · 2026-08-07
The author presents a very aggressive timeline prediction for the "human-to-AI transition point":
- This year: We will cross the transition point, where AI will already be much better than humans.
- By 2028: AI will be close to the optimal limit, far better than humans at everything.
- By 2030: Adoption will accelerate, replacing all human work.
Additionally, the post quotes an observation about the massive scale of Waymo's autonomous vehicle fleet (produced by Zeekr and retrofitted by Magna) deployed in Arizona, using it as real-world evidence of AI's accelerated deployment.
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