AI capability prediction model integrates API prices and expert surveys, with interactive weight adjustment
anpaure · x · 2026-08-03
Author @anpaure shares an AI capability prediction model that incorporates API prices, compute trends from Epoch AI, and calibration via a survey of 20 people. An interactive graph allows users to adjust factor weights to explore predictions under different assumptions.
Related event: New Interactive Model Predicts AGI Using Compute and API Pricing(2 posts)→
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