Independent Cross-Entropy Analysis Reveals Suspicious Similarities Between Major LLMs

scaling01 · x · 2026-07-30

A developer analyzed the raw text outputs of numerous major LLMs using cross-entropy comparison, uncovering suspicious similarities between certain models (such as Kimi-K3 and Fable, and DeepSeek v4 and Grok-4.3), raising concerns about potential data contamination or shared lineages.

Subsequently, another developer replicated the analysis using Fable on a completely different corpus (WeirdML transcripts). The results showed that the connections—like Kimi-K3/Fable—remained prominent. While the author cautions that these could be spurious correlations, finding consistent results across different datasets adds credibility to the hypothesis that the similarities are meaningful.

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