A frontier model cannot be called safe just because hindsight makes the risk look obvious
_aidan_clark_ · x · 2026-07-21
The author pushes back on the idea that a model can be declared safe in retrospect and that prior concern was simply overreaction. Their point is that frontier model risk is inherently hard to reason about ahead of time, so hindsight should not be used to dismiss caution.
This is a continuation of the iterative-deployment argument: if harm thresholds are uncertain, safety thinking has to stay conservative rather than congratulating itself after the fact.
Related event: GPT-OSS Open-Source Debate: Risk Assessment vs. Regulation(22 posts)→
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