Robot World Models and the Humanoid Timeline

Scobleizer · x · 2026-07-17

The author recalls having dinner with @bercankilic a few months ago, discussing how he collects and prepares data to build robot world models. He praises Bercan's expertise, partly due to his background in data acquisition for F1 racing, where a single car can reportedly accumulate petabytes of data.

Based on this, the author infers that few truly understand the current state of robotics. For humanoid robots to achieve genuine generalization, it will take at least another year or two, if not longer. Consequently, they believe Tesla's Optimus might be delayed until next year before becoming available for purchase. The cited content also mentions microagi raising $55 million, marking one of the largest seed rounds for a German startup, aiming to bring robots into factories. Their consumer-facing project, shift, previously went viral for offering free apartment cleanings in NYC in exchange for first-person video footage.

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