Frontier Model Costs and Edge Capabilities Set for Rapid Leap
timshi_ai · x · 2026-07-11
The post argues that progress in open-source frontier models will continue to accelerate, making it possible to see a model with "quality close to Fable 5 at 3–4 times lower cost" within 6 months. The author also predicts a >50% chance that within 12 months, we'll see a model "approaching Opus 4.8 levels that runs locally on devices."
The core takeaway: future forecasts must factor in the combined trends of improving model capabilities, decreasing costs, and edge deployability.
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