Ofir Press Predicts AI Capabilities in 2029
OfirPress · x · 2026-07-08
Ofir Press shares several predictions regarding frontier AI capabilities. He believes people will consistently prefer and use frontier models over non-frontier alternatives. By 2029, he expects small models to generate up to 100,000 tokens/second, while frontier models will reach around 2000 tokens/second. He also highlights the massive gap between theoretical and effective context windows: while models might claim 1 billion token contexts, the effective usable window for frontier models will likely be only around 50 million tokens.
Related event: Predictions and Debates on 2029 AI Capabilities(3 posts)→
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