Oxford's Toby Ord Questions METR Timeline Metric and Power-Law Readings

Oxford philosopher Toby Ord cautions that METR's 50% task-completion timeline can grow indefinitely without implying major world change, and that power-law claims about such timelines are hard to verify on log-log plots.

2026-11-09 ~ 2026-11-10 · 2 related posts

• Toby Ord: METR's 50% Time Horizon Can Go to Infinity Without Transforming the World — tobyordoxford · 2026-11-09
• Toby Ord: log-log graphs mislead on power laws — METR time horizon is a case in point — tobyordoxford · 2026-11-10