Toby Ord: METR's 50% Time Horizon Can Go to Infinity Without Transforming the World

tobyordoxford · x · 2026-11-09

In a discussion with Ben Todd, Toby Ord argues that METR's 50% task-completion time horizon is an example of a metric that can rise to infinity without the world changing much. A similar curve plotted with AECI would likely be more meaningful, he notes — highlighting the gap between benchmark progress and real-world impact.

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