AI progress accelerates but R&D efficiency drops 63% per dollar, METR analysis shows

An analysis of METR data shows that while measured AI capability progress is accelerating, R&D spending is growing even faster—output per billion dollars of R&D has dropped about 63%, to roughly 4.05 AECI points in 2025.

2026-11-08 ~ 2026-11-08 · 2 related posts

• METR Progress per R&D Dollar Fell 63% Even as Yearly Gains Doubled — sebkrier · 2026-11-08
• AI progress per dollar fell 63% as R&D spending grew 5.3x faster than capability gains — kimmonismus · 2026-11-08